Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.136916 0.158367 0.182048 0.210130 0.242522 0.278720 0.322250
2025-11-16 0.104161 0.133237 0.168638 0.214908 0.273807 0.346317 0.442451
2025-11-23 0.085310 0.117042 0.158399 0.216239 0.295082 0.398891 0.546165
2025-11-30 0.073275 0.106444 0.152144 0.219685 0.317034 0.452422 0.655390
2025-12-07 0.062102 0.094805 0.142086 0.215394 0.326293 0.488016 0.742344
2025-12-14 0.053842 0.085932 0.134370 0.212765 0.336605 0.525025 0.834287
2025-12-21 0.048385 0.080420 0.130718 0.215372 0.354485 0.574490 0.949953
2025-12-28 0.045324 0.078215 0.131768 0.225224 0.384510 0.645577 1.107462
2026-01-04 0.041977 0.075031 0.130717 0.231247 0.408543 0.709007 1.258824
2026-01-11 0.038914 0.071904 0.129296 0.236275 0.431123 0.771901 1.415631
2026-01-18 0.035763 0.068200 0.126380 0.238172 0.448113 0.826437 1.562987
2026-01-25 0.032327 0.063534 0.121166 0.235168 0.455609 0.864365 1.683434
2026-02-01 0.028618 0.057967 0.113771 0.227411 0.453667 0.885351 1.775638
2026-02-08 0.026867 0.056033 0.113079 0.232563 0.477278 0.957258 1.975132
2026-02-15 0.024895 0.053403 0.110699 0.234003 0.493514 1.016228 2.154876
2026-02-22 0.023364 0.051495 0.109533 0.237731 0.514703 1.087028 2.366329
2026-03-01 0.021210 0.047994 0.104675 0.233089 0.517674 1.120506 2.502179
2026-03-08 0.019445 0.045137 0.100862 0.230245 0.524126 1.161786 2.659158
2026-03-15 0.018312 0.043569 0.099673 0.233065 0.543359 1.232456 2.889020
2026-03-22 0.017857 0.043514 0.101836 0.243723 0.581477 1.348600 3.235053
2026-03-29 0.017125 0.042716 0.102212 0.250238 0.610628 1.447311 3.550889
2026-04-05 0.016370 0.041774 0.102146 0.255678 0.637770 1.544017 3.872243
2026-04-12 0.015460 0.040341 0.100758 0.257730 0.656868 1.623559 4.160107